by JakeThePerformer » Jun 18th, '09, 22:02
Ever since it has been talked about on Genii Forum, I've always felt the need to clarify...
I know sometimes it is lied about for the effect, but the chances of an ACAAN happening successfully once is 1/52. Not 52 x 52.
Listen, often it is said, "Chances you name the card, 52 x chances you name the number, 52." However, some on Genii seemed to actually believe this was true... but listen...
Chances you name the card, unless you for some odd reason forget the names of all cards, or are unable to communicate properly, is 100/100.
Chances you name the number that matches that card are 1/52.
You see, the chance doesn't come into play untill part two. So if first the number was asked for, and then the card, then 100/100 they name a number, 1/52 they name the correct card.
How silly would it be to say, "Why, the chances the J of hearts would be in that spot of the deck he chose is one out of 2,704." No! That card could have only been in 51 other places!
Imagine it this way, they name a card. Done. They will name a card. Imagine that card moving through all 52 positions in the deck. At one point it will be in the spot they next name.
Sorry, It just frightened me where these Genii folks were getting this idea from.
Also, to clarify, I realize it is mostly lied about for the effect.