Marvo Marky wrote:I have had it explained to me by a mathematician and apparently the solution is slightly more complicated than I first thought.
The best way to understand things like this is not to scribble numbers all over the place but to find an explanation in terms of metaphors and visual images that your intuition can easily grasp.
Think of each of the eight cards on the first row as the starting points of eight different paths. Allocate to each of these eight paths a colour, and mark the starting card of each path by placing upon it a poker chip of the corresponding colour.
Now for each path, work out which is the
second card in that path. Place a poker chip of the colour for that path upon that card.
Some of the cards will now have two poker chips on them, of two different colours. This means that the paths corresponding to those two colours merge together at that point. Think of it as a Y-junction. Once two paths have merged, they can never seperate again, so you only need one of the two colours to represent it from then on.
You can instantly dismiss any path that doesn't make it to the second row by its second card, because in that case it has
already merged with whichever path its second card is the start of (since each card in the first row is the beginning of a path). The path beginning at the first card only makes it to the second row without merging if it's at least an eight, the path beginning at the second card only makes it to the second row without merging if its at least a seven, and so on. So you'll probably find there are very few paths which make it as far as the second row without merging with another. Forget all the paths except for the few survivors.
For the paths that make it, continue placing poker chips of the right colour on every card in that path, until eventually you'll get to a card where the only paths that still haven't merged with each other finally do so. From then on, well, there's only one path and that's why the force works.
You should be able to see intuitively that the chances of two or more paths remaining independent all the way to the end are very low. Proving it's actually
impossible is not relevant to the intuitive exercise; it is sufficient to satisfy yourself that it's very, very unlikely. One thing to note is that the longer the paths go on the more
opportunity there is for the paths to merge, and another thing is that the final merger is quite likely to happen where there's a bunch of ace/king/queen/jack cards all in a row. It's easy to see why - it's because a row of cards like that is a bit like a swamp. You tend to get stuck there.
Look, I'll show you.
In this example, the colours of the paths starting at each card, from left to right, are blue, red, dark purple, orange, green, black, yellow and light blue. The
blue path merges with the
red path at the six of spades (represented from now on by red), and the
orange path merges with the
purple path at the two of hearts (represented from now on by orange).
Orange merges with
black at the jack of diamonds, and that merges with
yellow at the king of hearts (this merged path is from now on represented by yellow). At the four of spades, the
red,
yellow and
light blue paths all merge (represented from now on by light blue). By the time we get to the second row, every colour except green has merged into the path represented by light blue.
The green and light blue paths eventually merge together at the ace of diamonds, in row four, showing that whatever path you started on, you are
forced to eventually wind up there.
If you're not absolutely sure you follow this, try it yourself with cards and poker chips, and you'll probably get it.