No, I'm not saying that every pirated copy is a lost sale, but to people releasing their own work - especially books - piracy hits them harder than the likes of Luke Jermay who has (or at least had) publishing deals, credits on major TV shows and a DVD on Alakazam (before he ran his reputation into the ground by releasing nothing but tat). These are not luxuries afforded to those who have to release work themselves.Wishmaster wrote:Isn't what you say presupposing that people who download a pirated copy would have otherwise made a purchase? This has been a fallacious argument used by the music, movie and sofware industries for years. I'm not saying some of these people wouldn't have bought copies, but there's no way to tell what those proportions are. You can't measure lost sales without canvassing all those who downloaded copies, so it's pure guesswork.
And you can't really point to the likes of Cory Doctorow and Radiohead for comparison, as they have sizeable followings. Radiohead are one of the biggest "alternative" (if you can even call them that) acts in the world, so In Rainbows would have covered its costs if they'd released it on minidisc. The pay-what-you-want idea was great for them because they're a huge band with a huge following, and the ensuing piracy didn't really damage them. That model doesn't scale down to self-released magic books.
I know if I was releasing a book I certainly would not make a PDF available to anybody, not even as a review copy. And even then, if it was any good, I'd expect it to leak eventually anyway, but why make it easy for them when there are ways to contain it?


